• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0974

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun May 25 21:45:48 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 252144
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 252144=20
    TXZ000-252315-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0974
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0444 PM CDT Sun May 25 2025

    Areas affected...portions of the Texas Panhandle

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 325...

    Valid 252144Z - 252315Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 325 continues.

    SUMMARY...Large to very large hail threat and tornado potential
    continues.

    DISCUSSION...A pair of supercells northeast of Lubbock will continue
    to pose the risk for large to very large hail. The southern cell is
    situated along a remnant outflow boundary has been further
    influenced by near storm interactions. This cell has a history of
    producing hail up to 2.75". Nearby surface winds are northeasterly,
    however, the cell has turned southward. Should this cell begin to
    move into more favorably backed southeasterly winds, tornado
    potential could increase with ingest of streamwise vorticity and
    enhancement of near surface vorticity from the aforementioned
    boundary.

    ..Thornton.. 05/25/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!9z5N5dmTadJ1XsGq1pGmCaHVnL98loNPtuDgN5GXJHqGCP-Y4_q3KjccXhM9NpQQFsnF3gCJw= VLErpqWh4a5eAswcMs$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LUB...

    LAT...LON 33630119 33800132 34090141 34540117 34670098 34740074
    34690043 34570020 34280006 34050008 33740029 33520047
    33440070 33440099 33450094 33630119=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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