ACUS11 KWNS 270955
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 270954=20
ALZ000-MSZ000-LAZ000-271130-

Mesoscale Discussion 1006
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0454 AM CDT Tue May 27 2025

Areas affected...southeast LA and southern MS

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely=20

Valid 270954Z - 271130Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts are possible through the morning
with an eastward-advancing line of storms.

DISCUSSION...A line of storms across central/south-central LA will
continue to shift east the next several hours. This activity is
occurring within a modestly sheared environment and tracking along
the MLCAPE gradient. Across southeast LA, dewpoints in the mid/upper
70s F is supporting stronger, surface-based instability. This may
foster a greater potential for severe gusts where surface-based
storms are more likely. Nevertheless, strong gusts are possible
northward into southern MS as the well-organized convection
continues east.

..Leitman/Gleason.. 05/27/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7Izsa92fCXDlQHt8TPI1VhjDWIdzti21abiz8eA5uRh-CGvrk-E7N1gR16K3lXTuos6CD7TOl= XJCfXrW-O7fssb5Eao$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...

LAT...LON 31639241 32169042 32208982 31818843 31018833 30328894
29729005 29499099 29499188 29559229 29779264 31189270
31639241=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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