• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1079

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 2 21:00:51 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 022100
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 022100=20
    MNZ000-022300-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1079
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0400 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025

    Areas affected...Portions of central Minnesota

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 354...

    Valid 022100Z - 022300Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 354
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Wind and hail threat continues across portions of WW 354.

    DISCUSSION...A complex of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing
    in central Minnesota in WW 354. These storms formed on the northern
    periphery of an instability axis stretching from west-central
    Minnesota southwestward through southwest Nebraska. Greater
    inhibition on the northern extent of the complex should limit the
    severe threat there, while continued boundary-layer heating to the
    east and southeast of the system should support a continued severe
    threat there. In this region, the combination of deep boundary-layer
    mixing and strong lift along the leading edge of the cold pool
    (inferred from storm-scale temperature deficits around 10-15 F)
    should support continued convective development and a wind/hail
    threat across the watch area for the next couple of hours.

    ..Flournoy/Smith.. 06/02/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!46T1VDzLT0sFrBRt2w0XLPDL5r2OBL88DZBJBz6IuyogSC6n-2u_1QEri5cXjeXWC9EdrOES3= W-W1Q30tIsfz_Sj2iM$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...

    LAT...LON 46449430 46679383 46609332 46259309 45549329 45029382
    44879451 44899519 45049515 45369457 45789430 46449430=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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