• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1088

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Jun 3 04:53:56 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 030453
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030453=20
    TXZ000-030700-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1088
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1153 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of west/southwest TX

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 030453Z - 030700Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...Isolated strong to locally severe storms will remain
    possible overnight.

    DISCUSSION...A few strong storms are ongoing across parts of
    west/southwest TX, within an environment characterized by moderate
    buoyancy and modestly favorable deep-layer shear. Glancing ascent
    associated with a shortwave trough moving across New Mexico and a
    moderate low-level jet may continue to support occasional strong
    storms and possibly an occasional supercell or two, with a threat of
    hail and localized severe gusts. Coverage of the severe threat is
    currently expected to remain isolated overnight, though
    observational trends will continue to be monitored for localized
    corridors of greater threat.

    ..Dean/Guyer.. 06/03/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!64tMbeIKLe1PbgIlHYsHwqh5VXbBrfm6W8MGNekVS34amh9hKot8IvAqRXWLLmo1l2ZhOUO1g= 4wC6tor5VmdDfc8fMs$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

    LAT...LON 32410299 34410227 35380166 35380059 33859976 33309948
    32189952 31609980 31000042 30440150 30510295 31200304
    32410299=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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