• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1098

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Jun 3 22:09:45 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 032208
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 032208=20
    OKZ000-TXZ000-040015-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1098
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0508 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025

    Areas affected...Central and south-central Oklahoma

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360...

    Valid 032208Z - 040015Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 360
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A local corridor of tornado risk continues to be evident
    in central and south-central Oklahoma.

    DISCUSSION...KTLX VAD continues to show low-level hodograph
    enlargement (200+ 0-1 km SRH). Over the past hour, line-embedded
    circulations have become evident west of the OKC metro. East of the
    line, discrete storms have continued to develop in central Oklahoma
    and south-central Oklahoma. Discrete storms near the OKC metro will
    likely interact with the line of storms in the next hour. Discrete
    storms in south-central Oklahoma have not been able to intensify so
    far as mid-level ascent is weaker with southern extent. Given the
    low-level shear profiles, a tornado risk will exist within even with
    a linear mode, but especially with any discrete storms that can
    persist into this evening.

    ..Wendt.. 06/03/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5UHX0fqXrvq7rJMTO_udk2Cpu6xvhyMXGdj_Uj2wE6AR1f3EMRYprX75A2WTmbjJvcYjNc0X1= mW2qESdDBJ-p9dp_fs$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

    LAT...LON 33949760 34399824 34609850 35019831 35249806 35509783
    35839763 35879710 35359678 34319691 34029710 33949760=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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