• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1151

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jun 6 20:29:50 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 062029
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 062029=20
    KYZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-062130-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1151
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0329 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

    Areas affected...Western Kentucky and northern parts of
    western/middle Tennessee

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 376...

    Valid 062029Z - 062130Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 376 continues.

    SUMMARY...The threat for occasional wind damage and a couple of
    tornadoes continues.

    DISCUSSION...An increasingly complex surface pattern is evolving
    within tornado watch 376, as a result of multiple bands/clusters of
    storms and associated rain-cooled outflow. The convective clusters
    are occurring east of a remnant MCV approaching the lower OH Valley,
    on the northern edge of an unstable warm sector. Regional VWPs show
    40-50 kt midlevel flow with the MCV (and associated deep-layer
    vertical shear), but thus far low-level hodograph curvature/SRH has
    remained somewhat limited where the majority of the convection is
    occurring. There is still some potential for embedded circulations
    with an attendant tornado threat where favorable storm/boundary
    interactions occur.

    ..Thompson.. 06/06/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!79OSSQAVC7naY0EqBTC-fFrFI2paACO6CPnbg5ScKNFb8lsF-2RXvyJOkGDPA8w2hvkTRGsT0= XIErwq_QKw5t1yatno$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

    LAT...LON 37448711 37108677 36848665 36618673 36268701 36108768
    35988828 36048907 36348972 36608966 36708933 36558877
    36728848 37178839 37578851 37828824 37708769 37448711=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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