• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1152

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jun 6 20:48:20 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 062048
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 062047=20
    KYZ000-062145-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1152
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0347 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

    Areas affected...Eastern Kentucky

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 377...

    Valid 062047Z - 062145Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 377
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The wind-damage threat appears to be diminishing, and the
    watch may be canceled prior to 23z.

    DISCUSSION...The earlier convective band has shown consistent signs
    of weakening, with reduced echo tops, reflectivity and lightning
    flash rates. Though moderate buoyancy persists downstream from the
    storms into eastern KY, the lack of additional surface heating
    (clouds and later afternoon sun angle) and relatively weak vertical
    shear suggest that any substantial/sustained uptick in storm
    intensity is unlikely. Thus, if recent trends persist, the watch
    could be canceled prior to the 23z expiration.

    ..Thompson.. 06/06/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!89u51qacsULYTM4Yq7tw59AjG1hV10iZ3UrTyT-K_zAOSlog630CmWAadUYQrW7LQf1HEEvTv= kKHcZy5sda1jzmL7K4$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...JKL...

    LAT...LON 37088303 36678360 36798397 37218360 37568333 37788272
    37598258 37088303=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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