ACUS11 KWNS 070718
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070718=20
OKZ000-070845-

Mesoscale Discussion 1171
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0218 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

Areas affected...Northern Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 381...382...

Valid 070718Z - 070845Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 381, 382 continues.

SUMMARY...A swath of 75 to 90 mph wind gusts will likely continue
for at least another 1 to 2 hours.

DISCUSSION...Despite a lack of measured wind gusts in excess of 75
mph, evidence strongly supports an ongoing swath of significant
severe wind gusts within a bowing segment moving across northern
Oklahoma. 80+ knot wind gusts were sampled 100 feet AGL from the
KVNX VWP and similar wind values have persisted since. The overall
region of the stronger winds appears slightly more broad and less
intense than earlier, but is a signature that likely represents 75+
mph wind gusts. The environment downstream of this bow remains
favorable for maintenance with MUCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg and a
persistent moderate low-level jet along this baroclinic zone. In
addition, strong low-level shear (>200 m2/s2 0-1km SRH from KINX
VWP) will support some QLCS tornado threat along the leading edge of
this squall line.=20

Therefore, expect this swath of 75+ mph wind gusts to persist for at
least another 1 to 2 hours.

..Bentley.. 06/07/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-om6mLbp8lV5iHwKCGgUDQMqJJxY96ZUvxp98BVNcmNzRj6l9x1qmG5bzSIoUjazGLMCFmE8O= jCf9NvebWTis37jEzE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

LAT...LON 36969779 36839679 36549591 36319579 36209657 36459768
36589796 36969779=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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