ACUS11 KWNS 070852
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070851=20
OKZ000-071015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1172
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0351 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

Areas affected...parts of central Oklahoma

Concerning...Tornado Watch 381...

Valid 070851Z - 071015Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 381 continues.

SUMMARY...A corridor of greater severe wind threat is likely
developing across parts of central Oklahoma.

DISCUSSION...A well-developed bowing line segment developed across
western Oklahoma and is now moving into central Oklahoma. Measured
wind speeds within this line have been mostly sub-severe thus far.
Primary reason for this is likely due to a reservoir of lesser
instability across southwest and west-central Oklahoma where earlier
storms impacted. However, this line of storms is nearing greater
instability south of I-40 and east of I-35 (Low to mid 70s
dewpoints). Some sign of intensification may be occurring in the
line with a stronger core which recently developed across southwest
Canadian county.=20

Another complicating factor is southward moving outflow which moved
out of the northern bow echo and has now advanced ahead of this line
of storms. This could also continue to lessen intensity of this
line. However, as it moves into the more unstable airmass across
southern and eastern Oklahoma, it may also serve as a focus for
additional storm development ahead of the line.=20

Despite the uncertainties, the organized nature of the bow as it
advances into greater instability increases confidence for some
severe wind threat as this line of storms continues to move
southeast. In addition, nearly 300 m2/s2 of 0-1km SRH from the KTLX
VWP will support some tornado threat through the early morning
hours.

..Bentley.. 06/07/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8tQRm39kfbXoLAajwsm1hc4yS2mIoiilAsoqcdL-l0z4mapu6vMC4zezOJLZ7tWnA5mH-4ltK= L2trymPF5wbteqArIU$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...

LAT...LON 34829776 34959823 35129867 35299866 35599837 35839821
35699750 35379666 35129649 34769643 34779732 34829776=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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