ACUS11 KWNS 261821
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261821=20
INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-262015-

Mesoscale Discussion 1791
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0121 PM CDT Sat Jul 26 2025

Areas affected...far eastern Missouri...central Illinois...far
western Indiana.

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 261821Z - 262015Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...Marginal risk for strong to severe wind through the
afternoon.

DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm activity across portions of eastern
Missouri into central Illinois and western Indiana is expected to
increase in coverage this afternoon near multiple remnant MCVs and
remnant outflow. Pockets of enhanced flow/modest shear along with
daytime heating has allowed for the air mass to become favorable
unstable and supportive of at least an isolated risk for a stronger
storm or two capable of strong to severe wind. Given the generally
weak forcing and modest shear for organization, this threat is
likely to remain too localized for watch issuance.

..Thornton/Guyer.. 07/26/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_V8k85MdZQyDBW2ZVF9cUfYPNhXmr-ILDa5GYgSGqwDFmnPdSy7IvpnivOOkxUeb9q7kGqq9q= 342N3S376y8NB3_CUE$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...

LAT...LON 39409207 40029144 40599049 40968924 41098823 41168706
40458663 39978711 38339061 38519193 39409207=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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