ACUS11 KWNS 202315
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 202314=20
VAZ000-WVZ000-MDZ000-202345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0809
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0614 PM CDT Wed May 20 2026

Areas affected...portions of northeast Virginia

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234...236...

Valid 202314Z - 202345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 234, 236
continues.

SUMMARY...A damaging gust or episode of hail may occur in the next
1-2 hours.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms continues to track northeast toward
a localized a pristine airmass that has yet to be overturned by
convection (e.g. the Grant County Airport ASOS showing 87 F surface temperatures). As such, storm cores in the area may remain strong
enough over the next 1-2 hours to produce a damaging gust or
instance of hail as they approach this reservoir of potentially
unstable air. Thereafter, the severe threat should continue to
diminish with time.

..Squitieri.. 05/20/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6cLnJ34XydP7cQ74orsiNy4BluDtrG4cA_WGR9OcsMosr72BUXsl0oz1XW351C0-RxSlLrxYx= n6IZqvHtVXrDccs3-8$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LWX...PBZ...RLX...

LAT...LON 38918094 39197983 39297910 39077864 38817882 38667916
38527953 38477985 38558035 38918094=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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