• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2194

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sun Nov 3 20:56:14 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 032056
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 032055=20
    OKZ000-032200-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2194
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0255 PM CST Sun Nov 03 2024

    Areas affected...portions of central Oklahoma

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 702...

    Valid 032055Z - 032200Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 702 continues.

    SUMMARY...A maturing line of storms may pose a heightened threat for
    severe winds and a few tornadoes over the next 1-2 hours as it
    approaches I-35.

    DISCUSSION...As of 2050 UTC, KFDR and KTLX radar imagery showed a
    maturing thunderstorm cluster has become better organized over the
    last 30 minutes as it has moved across southwestern OK. Emerging
    from an initial group of several independent supercells, the storm
    mode has trended towards a bowing/line segment over time. This trend
    will likely continue as it tracks along and near the stalled frontal
    zone over central OK. Radar velocity measurements have shown
    periodic strong outflow surges with embedded mesovorticies. Large
    low-level streamwise vorticity and strong 0-3 km line-normal shear
    evident on the TLX VAD hodograph will continue to favor a balanced
    QLCS mode as convection approaches the I-35 corridor in the next
    60-90 minutes. Given the strong shear, linear mode, and potential
    for mature mesovorticies, damaging winds (some 70+ mph) a few
    embedded tornadoes are likely in central OK in the next 1-2 hours.

    ..Lyons.. 11/03/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-hr9-42yXj-NFXdV_y_0mSy_GJ3zjkUHHhhnwwg-PmqyGq8eskUK3ZxD50NY02jh7J-8a0Y1v= XmugAkD3DzXT-f3ldk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...OUN...

    LAT...LON 35719715 35609697 35279687 34959689 34849707 34669760
    34579864 35309857 35639784 35729740 35719715=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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