• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2203

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Nov 4 18:12:49 2024
    ACUS11 KWNS 041812
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 041812=20
    ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-041915-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2203
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1212 PM CST Mon Nov 04 2024

    Areas affected...eastern Oklahoma and north-central Texas

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 704...

    Valid 041812Z - 041915Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 704 continues.

    SUMMARY...The severe weather threat is increasing across
    north-central Texas and eastern Oklahoma.

    DISCUSSION...A line of storms has developed east of I-35 in central
    Oklahoma and is slowly drifting east. These storms are showing some
    sign of severe intensity and occasional rotation, but they are
    struggling to move ahead of the boundary. However, visible satellite
    is showing signs of some development ahead of the boundary across
    north Texas and eastern Oklahoma. This development will likely pose
    a greater severe weather threat with supercells capable of large
    hail, severe wind and several tornadoes (some which may be strong)
    through the afternoon hours.=20

    Currently, flow is southerly or south-southwesterly across the warm
    sector, but is expected to back to 160-170 by later this afternoon
    with the deepening cyclone and a strengthening low-level jet.
    Therefore, the greatest tornado threat will be with any discrete
    supercells after 21Z across eastern Oklahoma and north Texas.

    ..Bentley/Hart.. 11/04/2024

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_IcLIjPv7Y8nxJGDUJKWHIznDIx7p2LQwvQ592lkJ1notWVadnoRfWJqHn7B4JXtWiFykddg3= nZ_HuCMR_jrtIhHsSk$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...SGF...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

    LAT...LON 32139854 34659721 35369692 36379685 36969624 36999428
    36409421 34239461 32729554 31999655 31979794 32139854=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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