• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0329

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Mar 31 19:04:02 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 311903
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 311903=20
    SCZ000-NCZ000-GAZ000-312030-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0329
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0203 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

    Areas affected...Far east-central Georgia into central/Upstate South
    Carolina

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 87...

    Valid 311903Z - 312030Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 87
    continues.

    SUMMARY...A line of storms moving at 40-45 kts will allow for
    additional convectively enhanced wind gusts capable of wind damage
    despite a gradual reduction in buoyancy with northeast extent.

    DISCUSSION...A ling of convection now in parts of
    northeast/east-central Georgia is moving northeast at 40-45 kts. The
    speed of the line coupled with a stronger push of 0-3 km flow (noted
    on KFFC in the wake of the line) should promote convectively
    enhanced gusts capable of wind damage into South Carolina. Muted
    surface heating and lower dewpoints to the north/northeast will
    limit buoyancy, though some increase over the next hour or so will
    likely occur with additional broken insolation and moisture flux.

    ..Wendt.. 03/31/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_1Z6ldxN-bN6Ix-aNUe2JzF_7TOSJ2WUytRaj6YZqYjDjuvVXeW59Rh3dDG3vmlYzD3xM8feK= XWtMTYQLZCfaMryNEs$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CAE...GSP...FFC...

    LAT...LON 34378307 34988178 35288126 35098018 34717954 34167977
    33518083 33308212 33368292 34378307=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH


    =3D =3D =3D
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