• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0333

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Mar 31 23:06:44 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 312306
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 312306=20
    NCZ000-SCZ000-010000-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0333
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0606 PM CDT Mon Mar 31 2025

    Areas affected...Portions of eastern South Carolina

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 90...

    Valid 312306Z - 010000Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 90
    continues.

    SUMMARY...The risk of severe wind gusts (generally 60-70 mph) will
    continue to the coast in eastern South Carolina.

    DISCUSSION...A north/south-oriented QLCS that previously overtook a semi-discrete supercell is tracking east-northeastward at around 40
    kt across far eastern SC. A well-established cold pool and
    persistent deep/embedded updrafts continue to pose a risk of severe
    wind gusts (generally 60-70 mph) -- especially given the favorable perpendicular orientation of around 40 kt of 0-6 km (per VWP data)
    to the leading gust front. This severe wind risk will persist to the
    coast.

    ..Weinman.. 03/31/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5w0lW_z9oOJIW0jxDmuEAPAg34EfkX2DmZNdMXxSVzxY_QZD9nrECa_TYz_fFVP2fVzaH41fP= 72iy4UnImLrzjLSOBo$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...

    LAT...LON 32917970 33487960 33787969 34007957 34187926 34177896
    33997862 33827860 33247898 32857940 32917970=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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