• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0367

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thu Apr 3 01:23:10 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 030121
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 030120=20
    INZ000-030245-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0367
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0820 PM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of central Indiana

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 99...

    Valid 030120Z - 030245Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 99 continues.

    SUMMARY...The tornado and damaging-wind risk is spreading
    east-northeastward across central Indiana in Tornado Watch 99.

    DISCUSSION...The latest radar data from IND/VWX shows an intense
    bowing line segment with an embedded supercell structure tracking east-northeastward at around 60 kt across central IN. With
    moist/unstable inflow for this system (middle 60s dewpoints) and
    60-70 kt of line-orthogonal 0-6 km shear (pew IND VWP), this intense
    convection will continue to pose a risk of severe wind gusts
    (upwards of 80 mph) and embedded tornadoes. Isolated cells
    developing ahead of the main line will also pose a risk of
    tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds.=20

    Farther south, semi-discrete supercell clusters are also tracking east-northeastward within a very favorable environment (350-400
    m2/s2 effective SRH and around 1500 J/kg MLCAPE). This activity will
    continue to pose a risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds
    as it continues east-northeastward.

    ..Weinman.. 04/03/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!8RV40Kf9bDlFsvyV1pJreOYuD-92VHqON0hyDtQhhQ_adpMUBYXN-hdTQgB_tyoSbf1mEqhly= PWwc8BmOzfDOmOZebQ$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...

    LAT...LON 38618735 38928730 39678676 40188638 40498600 40468544
    40268526 39928518 39678533 39098588 38658671 38618735=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-150 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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